Last Start Win
Last start Win
Why?
If a horse won last start it shows that the horse has potential and is fit. It also shows the horse has won a race. A lot of systems use this as a measure of fitness and form. Obviously a horse who wins must have been fit and in form.
Problems with using this indicator
Some horses won their last start a long time ago (ie 6months + ). Also there is a difference between horses winning a 7K race to a horse winning a 700K race. The size of the win is very important in this context. For example a Horse who ran 3rd by 0.2 lengths in a 700K race could be a much better bet than a horse running 1st in a 7K race and winning by 5 lengths.
Commonsense Meter
Medium
Why?
If a horse won last start it shows that the horse has potential and is fit. It also shows the horse has won a race. A lot of systems use this as a measure of fitness and form. Obviously a horse who wins must have been fit and in form.
Problems with using this indicator
Some horses won their last start a long time ago (ie 6months + ). Also there is a difference between horses winning a 7K race to a horse winning a 700K race. The size of the win is very important in this context. For example a Horse who ran 3rd by 0.2 lengths in a 700K race could be a much better bet than a horse running 1st in a 7K race and winning by 5 lengths.
Commonsense Meter
Medium
posted by Paul Smith at 6:40 PM
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