Monday, January 16, 2006

System Variables ?(Continued)

3. Lengths Beaten
Why?
A horse might be close in the race even though the position does not indicate this good form. Obviously a horse losing by 1 length and coming 6th should have run a much better race (and had a better chance of winning) than a horse running 4th and losing by 15 lengths. The first horse had a chance of winning but was just not good enough on the day. The second horse had no chance and was beaten by a long way.

Problems ?
This all depeneds on the class of competition once again. Its amaziong how often this comes up. A horse losing 15 lengths in a 700K race may actually have ran a better time than the horse finishing 1 length behind in a 7K race.

Commonsense Meter
Medium

Unitab Tipsters ...

I have kept a record of the tipsters for unitab starting this year. I thought I would post some of the stats.

Best 3 ROT Tipsters:
Brendan Tupper 113%
Ernie Manning 106%
Ian Humpheries 103%
Average of All Tipsters 83% ( -17% profit)

Best Strike Rate Tipsters:
Ernie Manning 38%
Ian Humpheries 36%
Brendan Tupper 35%
Average of All Tipsters 30%

Highest Avg Winning Price Tipster:
Howard Walter $3.36
Brendan Tupper $3.25
Ian Humpheries $2.88
Avg of All Tipsters $2.77

Most Active Tipster (Bets):
Kevin Casey 77
Mal James 74
Steve Moran 57
Avg of All Tipsters 48

I'll keep these up to date every few days if possible.